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You and I are highly unlikely to exist in a civilization that has produced only 70 billion people, yet we find ourselves in just such a civilization. Our circumstance, which seems difficult to explain...
A note on the Doomsday Argument
Doomsday Argument Sleeping Beauty confirmation self-location
2009/9/16
I argue that the Doomsday argument fails because it fails to take into account the lesson of the Sleeping Beauty puzzle.
A note on the Doomsday Argument
Doomsday Argument Sleeping Beauty confirmation self-location
2009/7/16
I argue that the Doomsday argument fails because it fails to take into account the lesson of the Sleeping Beauty puzzle.
The Doomsday Argument and Hempel's Problem
Hempel's problem Doomsday Argument contraposition
2008/4/21
In this paper, I present firstly a solution to Hempel's Problem. I recall secondly the solution to the Doomsday Argument described in my previous Une Solution pour l'Argument de l'Apocalypse (Canadian...
The Doomsday Argument Without Knowledge of Birth Rank
Doomsday argument anthropic reasoning observational selection effects
2008/4/21
The Carter-Leslie Doomsday argument, as standardly presented, relies on the assumption that you have knowledge of your approximate birth rank. I demonstrate that the Doomsday argument can still be giv...
Physicist J. Richard Gott uses the Copernican principle that “we are not special” to make predictions about the future lifetime of the human race, based on how long the human race has been in existenc...
In this paper, I present a solution to the Doomsday argument based on a third type of solution, by contrast to on the one hand, the Carter-Leslie view and on the other hand, the Eckhardt et al. analys...