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Testing for Structural Change in the Predictability of Asset Returns
Testing Structural Change Predictability Asset Returns
2015/5/13
Testing for Structural Change in the Predictability of Asset Returns.
Return Predictability in the Treasury Market:Real Rates,Inflation,and Liquidity
Expectations Hypothesis Term Structure Real Interest Rate Risk Inflation Risk Inflation-Indexed Bonds
2015/4/24
Estimating the liquidity differential between inflation-indexed and nominal bond yields, we separately test for time-varying real rate risk premia, inflation risk premia, and liquidity premia in U.S. ...
On the Exact Solution of the Multi-Period Portfolio Choice Problem for an Exponential Utility under Return Predictability
multi-period asset allocation expected utility optimization exponential utility func-tion return predictability.
2012/9/14
In this paper we derive the exact solution of the multi-period portfolio choice problem for an exponential utility function under return predictability. It is assumed that the asset returns depend on ...
Value matters: Predictability of Stock Index Returns
Valuation Ratios Long Run Stock Market Returns General Finance
2012/4/28
The aim of this paper is twofold: to provide a theoretical framework and to give further empirical support to Shiller's test of the appropriateness of prices in the stock market based on the Cyclicall...
An Empirical Test of the Athens Exchange New-Sector Indices Predictability Based on Wavelets
Time series forecasting stock market prediction
2010/9/7
A new forecasting method is employed using Haar and Daubechies-4 filters. Backtesting results, using four indices of the Athens Exchange (ATHEX), are benchmarked against an optimised Auto-Regressive ...
Model-Free Evaluation of Directional Predictability in Foreign Exchange
Characteristic function Directional predictability Generalized cross-spectrum Uncovered Interest Parity Market Intervention Currency Crisis Market Contagion
2011/4/6
We examine directional predictability in foreign exchange markets using a model-free statistical evaluation procedure. Based on a sample of foreign exchange spot rates and futures prices in six major ...
Model-Free Evaluation of Directional Predictability in Foreign Exchange Markets
foreign exchange markets
2011/4/2
We examine directional predictability in foreign exchange markets using a model-free statistical evaluation procedure. Based on a sample of foreign exchange spot rates and futures prices in six major ...