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Forecasting the Quantiles of Daily Equity Returns Using Realized Volatility: Evidence from the Czech Stock Market
Intraday data heterogeneous autoregressive model
2010/12/6
In this study, we evaluate the quantile forecasts of the daily equity returns on three of the most liquid stocks traded on the Prague Stock Exchange. We follow the recent findings that consider the po...
Multivariate stochastic volatility with Bayesian dynamic linear models
Multivariate stochastic volatility Bayesian dynamic linear models
2010/12/13
This paper develops a Bayesian procedure for estimation and forecasting of the volatility of multivariate time series. The foundation of this work is the matrix-variate dynamic linear model, for the v...