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《柳叶刀》发文称：2100年世界总人口将达88亿
柳叶刀 2100年 世界总人口 88亿
2020/7/23
一个国际研究小组近日在英国《柳叶刀》杂志发表文章称，到2100年，全球人口将达到88亿，比联合国目前的预测少20亿，而且，生育率下降和人口老龄化会塑造新的全球力量格局。研究人员称，到本世纪末，除非有大量移民涌入，否则195个国家中有183个将跌破保持人口水平的替代率临界值。此外，包括日本、西班牙、意大利、泰国、葡萄牙、韩国和波兰在内的20多个国家的人数将至少减少一半；而撒哈拉以南非洲地区的人口将增...
Application of the Demographic Potential Concept to Understanding the Russian Population History and Prospects History and Prospects 1897-2100
demographic losses of Russia method of demographic potentials population projections Russia Russian population perspectives Russian population trends
2008/12/1
The article deals with Russian population estimates since 1897 and prospects to the end of the XXI century. Concept of demographic potential is used to examine past trends and project future tendencie...
The Great Escape: A Review Essay on Fogel's The Escape from Hunger and Premature Death 1700-2100
The Great Escape A Review Essay on Fogel's The Escape Hunger Premature Death 1700-2100
2014/3/17
In this essay, I review Robert Fogel’s The Escape from Hunger and Premature Death,1700–2100, which is concerned with the past, present, and future of human health. Fogel’s work places great emphasis o...