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Inference from presence-only data;the ongoing controversy
presence-only data ongoing controversy
2015/8/21
Presence-only data abounds in ecology, often accompanied by a background sample. Although many interesting aspects of the species’ distribution can be learned from such data, one cannot learn the over...
Approximation of epidemic models by diffusion processes and their statistical inference
Approximation epidemic models diffusion processes their statistical inference
2013/6/14
Among various mathematical frameworks, multidimensional continuous-time Markov jump processes $(Z_t)$ on $\N^d$ form a natural set-up for modeling $SIR$-like epidemics. In this study we extend the res...
An ANOVA Test for Parameter Estimability using Data Cloning with Application to Statistical Inference for Dynamic Systems
Maximum Likelihood Estimation Over -Parametrized Models Markov Chain Monte Carlo Parameter Identifiability Differential Equation Models
2013/6/14
Models for complex systems are often built with more parameters than can be uniquely identified by available data. Because of the variety of causes, identifying a lack of parameter identifiability typ...
Informative Bayesian inference for the skew-normal distribution
Bayesian inference Gibbs sampling Markov Chain Monte Carlo Multivariate skew-normal distribution Stochastic representation of the skew-normal Uni
2013/6/14
Motivated by the analysis of the distribution of university grades, which is usually asymmetric, we discuss two informative priors for the shape parameter of the skew-normal distribution, showing that...
Approximate Inference for Observation Driven Time Series Models with Intractable Likelihoods
Observation Driven Time Series Models Approximate Bayesian Computation Asymptotic Con-sistency Markov Chain Monte Carlo
2013/4/28
In the following article we consider approximate Bayesian parameter inference for observation driven time series models. Such statistical models appear in a wide variety of applications, including eco...
Statistical inference for discrete-time samples from affine stochastic delay differential equations
asymptotic normality composite likelihood consistency discrete time observation of continuous-time models prediction-based estimating functions pseudo-likelihood stochastic delay differential equation
2013/4/28
Statistical inference for discrete time observations of an affine stochastic delay differential equation is considered. The main focus is on maximum pseudo-likelihood estimators, which are easy to cal...
Rejoinder: Likelihood Inference for Models with Unobservables Another View
Rejoinder Likelihood Inference Models Unobservables Another View
2010/10/15
First we should like to thank the editor for allowing us to respond to interesting discussions from the discussants,Molenberghs, Kenward and Verbeke (MKV), Louis and Meng, for the effort they have put...
We introduce an extension of the P\'olya tree approach for constructing distributions on the space of probability measures. By using optional stopping and optional choice of splitting variables, the ...