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Probabilistic wind speed forecasting using Bayesian model averaging with truncated normal components
Bayesian model averaging continuous ranked probability score ensemble calibration truncated normal distribution
2013/6/13
Bayesian model averaging (BMA) is a statistical method for post-processing forecast ensembles of atmospheric variables, obtained from multiple runs of numerical weather prediction models, in order to ...
Efficient Estimation of the number of neighbours in Probabilistic K Nearest Neighbour Classification
Bayesian Inference Model Averaging K-free model order estimation
2013/6/14
Probabilistic k-nearest neighbour (PKNN) classification has been introduced to improve the performance of original k-nearest neighbour (KNN) classification algorithm by explicitly modelling uncertaint...
Inferring ground truth from multi-annotator ordinal data: a probabilistic approach
ground truth multi-annotator ordinal data a probabilistic approach
2013/6/13
A popular approach for large scale data annotation tasks is crowdsourcing, wherein each data point is labeled by multiple noisy annotators. We consider the problem of inferring ground truth from noisy...